Hyperchat AI is a novel agentic technology that enables thoughtful conversations among networked human groups of potentially unlimited size. It allows large teams to discuss complex issues, brainstorm ideas, surface risks, assess alternatives and efficiently converge on optimized solutions that amplify the group's Collective Intelligence (CI). A formal study was conducted to quantify the forecasting accuracy of human groups using Hyperchat AI to conversationally predict the outcome of Major League Baseball (MLB) games. During an 8-week period, networked groups of approximately 24 sports fans were tasked with collaboratively forecasting the winners of 59 baseball games through real-time conversation facilitated by AI agents. The results showed that when debating the games using Hyperchat AI technology, the groups converged on High Confidence predictions that significantly outperformed Vegas betting markets. Specifically, groups were 78% accurate in their High Confidence picks, a statistically strong result vs the Vegas odds of 57% (p=0.020). Had the groups bet against the spread (ATS) on these games, they would have achieved a 46% ROI against Vegas betting markets. In addition, High Confidence forecasts that were generated through above-average conversation rates were 88% accurate, suggesting that real-time interactive deliberation is central to amplified accuracy.

翻译：Hyperchat AI是一种新颖的代理技术，能够在规模可能无限扩展的网络化人类群体中实现深思熟虑的对话。它使大型团队能够讨论复杂问题、集思广益、揭示风险、评估备选方案，并高效收敛于优化解决方案，从而增强群体的集体智能（CI）。本研究通过一项正式实验，量化了使用Hyperchat AI进行对话式预测的人类群体在美国职业棒球大联盟（MLB）比赛结果预测中的准确性。在为期8周的实验中，由约24名体育迷组成的网络化群体通过AI代理辅助的实时对话，协作预测了59场棒球比赛的获胜者。结果显示，当使用Hyperchat AI技术进行比赛辩论时，群体收敛于高置信度预测，其表现显著优于拉斯维加斯博彩市场。具体而言，群体在高置信度选择中的准确率达到78%，与拉斯维加斯赔率对应的57%准确率相比具有统计学显著优势（p=0.020）。若群体针对这些比赛进行让分盘投注，其相对于拉斯维加斯博彩市场的投资回报率可达46%。此外，通过高于平均水平的对话速率生成的高置信度预测准确率高达88%，表明实时交互式审议是提升预测准确性的核心机制。